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Showing posts from May, 2019

OPINION BASED ON EXIT POLLS

Even if I do not go by or take the average outcome of Exit Polls, I still go by my earlier stand that NDA will form the government in any eventuality to the extent the condition arises to take the help of "Others". I still wish NDA must get a jerk in the larger interest of the nation so as to mend her ways to deliver what it promised in 2014. The 2019 election has been contested by BJP without any promise than mud splashing on opposition, use of Pulwama and army in election campaigns. The deficient in numbers and if it has to form the government with coalition is acceptable to humble the party from being authoritarian to tinker with autonomy of Institutions and degrade the institution of democracy. I hope you read my earlier  post of 11th May "State Wise 2019 Lok Sabha Poll Analysis". But still believe it or not the exit polls unveils certain hard realities. Modi factor worked as per exit polls because the parties in opposition failed to effectively take up the

STATE WISE 2019 LOK SABHA POLL ANALYSIS

No Party is Expected to Get Clear Mandate Although BJP is Most Likely to Emerge Once Again as Single Largest Party in the 17th Lok Sabha Election 2019. A party or alliance needs 272 seats in the 543-member Lok Sabha to assume power and form government at the centre. In my earlier analysis I had said that performance of any political party in UP is most likely to determine their fate to form government at the center. A likelihood of a hung parliament was also not ruled out in the analysis. But in my definition of fractured mandate, an opportunity for NDA to horse trade “Others” than Congress to muster the number at an exorbitant bidding price to buy them at a price which they might have heard of in figures but not dreamt of to improve their fortune. So the NDA and “Others” are most likely to form the government. I have been getting regular feedback from my friends from ground zero and from all media sources that helped me to be a bit specific to arrive at state wise break up of seats

WHAT ARE PEOPLE VOTING FOR???

Nowhere in the election campaigns model code of conduct so blatantly violated as has been in general election 2019. Development, jobs, agrarian issues, corruption, "achche din", Ram Mandir solutions have not reflected in the speeches than rhetorics on Indian army, Pulwama attack and politics on Pulwama martyrs to attempt at attracting sympathy votes. The nation is witnessing much of mud splashing than baring the intentions of the political parties to take the nation forward with well thought out development policy. It is disheartening to see the way a country's Prime Minister Narendra Modi, also a hindu chauvinist, getting down so low in 2019 general election campaign. The way he is violating Model Code of Conduct as if there is clear stand off instructions to Election Commission not to touch the PM at all.If Ms Mamata Banerjee is guilty of misusing state machinery in election that doesn't mean Modi should use the language of gunda mawali to announce openly of ho

SAFFRONISATION OF RENOWNED INDIAN INSTITUTIONS AND UNIVERSITIES

Throughout their term RSS-BJP have been incompetent and incapable to interact with and thereby retain high voltage qualified intellectuals and  renowned stalwarts of any department in pursuits of nation building. It is sad that in no country the social media is misused to an alarming and a shameless extent due to digital revolution than in India for spreading rumours, lies and hatred to give vent to their petty mindset and thereby increasing their followers in numbers trained as troll forwarders than thinking rationals. These troll forwarders are in tearing hurry to share than cross check the facts of troll suppliers. Mindless trolls are forwarded because there is no cyber laws to punish the offenders after summary trials. Nor the ruling BJP government ever wanted to bring in stricter laws to discourage the rumour mongers as the party itself thriving on rumour based publicity to attract bhakti. They have 1. allowed the mediocres to infiltrate into countrywide universities to distu